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Affordable housing offers $0.62 tn worth investment opportunities in India in next five years: Knight Frank

01:02 PM Nov 22, 2021 | FPJ Web Desk

Real estate consultancy Knight Frank in its latest report “Brick by Brick – Long term capital to fund affordable housing for all” – observes that India’s affordable housing offers $ 0.62 trillion of funding opportunities for private funds in the backdrop of the government’s push for this segment.

The affordable housing sector in India has witnessed private equity (PE) investments to the tune of $2,597 mn since 2011. The investment in affordable housing has been 17 percent of the total PE investment in the residential segment in India in the last 10 years (since 2011), mentioned the report. However, it is yet to become a major theme for the funds in the country with a very few private equity funds dedicated to funding affordable homes.

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The report was launched during the ongoing APREA - Asia Pacific Real Estate Leaders Congress 2021 currently being held (November 22 – 26, 2021) during the session - Affordable Housing - Long Term investment.

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Share of PE investments into affordable segment

India constitutes 11% of world’s housing need gap

The Ministry of Housing and Urban Affairs demand-based assessment, which is based on an assessment of the number of houses which the households will choose to occupy given their preferences and ability to pay (at given prices), has pegged the affordable housing demand at approximately 11.22 million houses. Urban India comprises 35 percent of the country’s population and is witnessing unprecedented rates of migration leading to rapid urbanisation resulting in demand preceding the supply.

Aound 57 percent (4.5 billion) of the world’s total population lives in urban areas and almost a third of this population (1.3 billion) lives in substandard housing. This has translated to a housing need-gap of 325 mn homes globally, of which India contributes to 11 percent. It’s estimated that by the year 2030 more than 40 percent of the Indian population will live in urban India as against the current figure of 35 percent, which will create additional demand for affordable units with huge investment opportunities for private equity players.

Development of affordable homes in India

To address this housing crisis, various funds and institutes have stepped into affordable housing segment. These funds have focused their entire investments into development of affordable housing, while providing liquidity/credit to credible developers, while using asset management to hedge risks. The largest of these funds operational in India is the HDFC Capital Advisors (HCARE fund) which has raised $1.1 billion which is primarily used for long term financing of affordable housing projects across 20 cities India. The fund is committed to finance 1,71,000 homes in India and develop 180 mn sq.ft.

Three of the largest funds with focus on development of affordable homes

Indian policy impact

The adaptation of PMAY policy in 2015, Government of India has targeted to meet a demand of 11.22 mn homes. Since the launch of the policy to 31st March 2021, 11.3 mn houses have been sanctioned, out of which, 4.8 mn have been completed till date. The figures indicate that the policy is close to achieving its set target.

The need for affordable housing in the growing urban sprawls of India has caught the attention of many developers, who are seeking to exploit this growing demand. Over 50% of all India residential launches in the top eight cities in the last 5 years have been in the sub-Rs 50 Lakh segment.

Share of new launches in the affordable segment

Gulam Zia, Senior Executive Director – Research, Advisory, Infrastructure and Valuation, Knight Frank India said, “The PE investments into affordable homes has increased since the introduction of reforms in the sector. The presence of a few large funds dedicated to financing the affordable housing projects signifies the potential of the segment. However, a significant portion of this investment into affordable housing segments is in projects for the mid-income segment and very little has been invested in constructing of the EWS and LIG segments, where the actual housing shortfall is.”

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